So who’s going to be better for the country next year?那么谁的,将会更好地为国家,明年呢? How will Republicans or Democrats affect the economy or your portfolio?如何将共和党人或民主党人经济的影响,或您的投资组合呢? Asking those questions is a little like opening pandora’s box, but I can’t go into that voting booth without really looking at the candidates.问这些问题是一个有点象开幕潘朵拉的盒子,但我不能进入投票的摊位没有真正看候选人。 Yet when it comes right down to it there’sa likeability factor that has to be there too.然而,当谈到权利,下降到它有likeability因素,要也有。 If I can’t identify with a candidate in some fashion, then it’s really hard to try and understand their views or beliefs on the issues.如果我不能确定与候选人在一些时装,那么它的真正努力尝试了解他们的意见或信念上的问题。
Right now for example, a lot of folks have been swept away with the Obama movement.现在举例来说,很多乡亲已一扫而空与奥巴马运动。 But are they really looking at the issues?但他们真的看问题呢? Personally, I don’t think so.我个人来说,我不这么认为。 And neither does Matt Gonzales who writes The Obama Craze: Count Me Out .也没有马特冈萨雷斯谁写奥巴马的热潮:指望我。 His expostion is one of the best examinations of Sen. Obama’s views and voting history that I’ve read to date.他expostion是其中一个最好的考试参议员奥巴马的意见,并参加表决的历史,我已经阅读到的日期。 And I find myself appreciating his conclusions:我觉得自己欣赏他的结论:
“ Once I started looking at the votes Obama actually cast, I began to hear his rhetoric differently. “ 一旦我开始看的选票,奥巴马实际上投,我开始听到他的言论有所不同。 The principal conclusion I draw about “change†and Barack Obama is that Obama needs to change his voting habits and stop pandering to win votes. 主要的结论,我提请约â € € œchangeâ和巴拉克奥巴马的是,奥巴马需要改变其投票的习惯,并停止迎合争取选票。 If he does this he might someday make a decent candidate who could earn my support. 如果他这样做,他可能有朝一日作出一个像样的候选人谁可赚取我的支持。
For now Obama has fallen into a dangerous pattern of capitulation that he cannot reconcile with his growing popularity as an agent of change. 现在奥巴马已陷入了一种危险的格局投降,他不能调和与他的日益普及,作为代理人的改变。 I remain impressed by the enthusiasm generated by Obama’s style and skill as an orator. 我仍然留下深刻印象的积极性,所产生的obamaâ € ™风格和技巧,作为一个演说家。 But I remain more loyal to my values, and I’m glad to say that I want no part in the Obama craze sweeping our country.” 但我仍然更忠于我的价值观, iâ € ™米高兴地说,我想任何部分,在奥巴马的热潮席卷我们的国家“ 。
I just figured out today why he has shared those thoughts, considering Ralph Nader has asked Gonzales to be his running mate . He sounds like a very principled individual however, and I appreciate his views.我只是揣摩今天为什么他分享了这些想法,考虑纳德已要求冈萨雷斯是他的竞选搭档 。 â他听起来像是一个非常有原则的个人,但我欣赏他的意见。
Honestly, I do want to know what “change” means, not only for the economy but also personally.老实说,我想知道什么是“改变”是指,不仅是为了经济,而且个人。 I want to understand how a potential candidate will affect my family’s future financial well-being over the next decade as much as the nation’s economic strength.  And admittedly I want to know how my portfolio could be affected by changes in tax law.我想了解如何在一个潜在的候选人会影响我的家庭的未来财政福祉,在今后十年中高达全国的经济strength.â â和无可否认,我想知道如何我的投资组合可能受到的变化税法。
On the investment side, Mick Weinstein put together a brief summary of viewpoints on how investors might fare under the next White House leadership.对投资方, 米克的韦恩斯坦放在一起简要的观点,就如何投资者可能的票价下,明年在白宫的领导。 Lots to consider but the comments were pretty interesting too.地段的考虑,但意见相当有趣。 One reader named “Gianni” writes:一位读者命名为“强尼”中写道:
“I think Obama represents hope and change. “我认为,奥巴马代表希望和改变。 Fidel Castro represented hope and change.卡斯特罗代表希望和改变。 He got the change part alright, but he ruined Cuba.他得到了改变的一部分,好吧,但他破坏了古巴。 President Jimmy Carter represented hope and change, and sure enough he changed a lot of things for the worse.卡特总统为代表的希望和变化,果然,他改变了很多事情,为差。 The American economy was in the toilet while he was president and it took Reagan a few years to straighten things out.美国经济在上厕所,而他是总统和里根花了数年,以端正的东西。 So hope and change sound good, but think carefully before you invest in hope and change.因此,希望和变化听起来不错,但仔细想一想之前,你投资在希望和改变。 And consider the possibility that those big evil corporations are doing a fine job of providing us with our high standard of living…”并考虑的可能性,那些邪恶的大公司做了罚款的工作,为我们提供了与我们的高水准的生活… … “
Think I prefer a more analytical approach to the issues, but I also agree that if the Democrats are elected we’ll probably see much higher taxes on both income and capital gains.想我宁愿更多的分析方法的问题,但我也同意,如果民主派人士当选,我们可能会看到高得多的税收均收入和资本收益。 Tax law just isn’t clear for 2009 and beyond.税法只是不明确,为2009年及以后。 Will the next administration be investor friendly?将下一届政府应投资者的友好呢? Will individuals and families pay a lot more taxes?将个人和家庭付出了很多更多的税呢? Of course any legislator thinking of raising taxes when the country is on the verge of a recession, inflationary pressures and housing bottoming out would be asking to be voted out of office.当然,任何立委思想,提高税收时,该国对濒临衰退,通货膨胀的压力和住房走出谷底,将要求表决,不在办公室。
Tax increases are on the horizon for a host of reasons including social security and medicare funding shortfalls as thousands of Boomers enter retirement for the next two decades.加税是在地平线上,为主机的原因,包括社会保障和医疗保险资金短缺,成千上万的婴儿潮进入退休,为未来20年。 But if we think economic conditions are challenging right now, just wait until congress decides to raise individual and corporate taxes.但如果我们认为经济条件是具有挑战性的权利,现在,只需等到国会决定提高个人和公司税。 It would be far better to do everything possible to make investing and growth favorable for business here in the USA它会好得多,尽一切可能使投资和增长有利的营商在这里,在美国
Whichever political party wins the election this year, they’ll also have an incredible opportunity and responsibility for affecting the nation’s economic future.哪一个政党赢得选举,这一年,他们也会有一个令人难以置信的机会和责任,影响国家的经济前途。 All things being equal I favor a conservative approach to business and tax climate.所有事情都是一样的i主张保守的做法,以业务和税务气候。
But change is certainly in the air.但改变无疑是在空气中。 I’m just not sure what all that change means at this point.我只是不知道什么都改变意味着在这一点上。
We need an administration that constructively supports investment and growth over the long term.我们需要一个政府,建设性的支持和投资增长的长远目标。 If the Democrats are elected, I only hope they think long and hard before saddling the nation with an enormous tax burden that will take years to overcome.如果民主派人士当选,我只希望他们觉得漫长而艰辛之前, saddling民族与一个巨大的税务负担,这将需要数年时间才能克服。
Whichever candidate takes the helm in 2009 will face an enormous balancing act.两者的候选人需掌舵在2009年将面临一个巨大的平衡。 If they can succeed with a balanced, functional approach over the next few years, then that will be a real change.如果他们能成功地与一个均衡的,按功能划分的方法在未来几年,那将是一个真正的变化。 Who knows… we could even see the launch of a new bull market that will bring incredible opportunity for a decade or more.谁知道… …我们甚至可以看到推出的一个新的牛市将带来令人难以置信的机会了十年或以上。
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