市场，人生观和选举|寿司的钱

Jan 04 1月4日

Markets, Outlooks and Elections 市场，人生观和选举

So this is how it’s going to be… the markets start the year off with steep losses.因此，这是如何的将会…市场的启动年，与陡峭的损失。 Many analysts predict we’ll see a 10% correction (or more) before the market regroups, and we’re well on the way.许多分析家预测，我们会看到一个10 ％校正（或以上）之前，市场regroups ，我们正在，以及对未来路向。 Obviously a lot of factors influence the market action, and it’s not simply “jobs data” or the recession bogeyman.很明显的因素有很多，影响市场的行动，这不是简单的“就业数据”或衰退bogeyman 。 Even oil at $100 a barrel was a fluke by someone out to grab a piece of history.甚至在石油每桶100美元是福禄克有人指出抢到一块历史。 Of course we may see oil at $100 again, but its effect on the economy is not as large as some may think.当然，我们可能会看到石油在100元，再次，但其对经济的影响是不一样大或许有人认为。 It does however show how there’sa host of traders and specialists sitting on the edge of their seats waiting for news- mostly negative news.它不过表明，如何有东道国的贸易商和专家会议上的优势在其座位上等待新闻大多是负面消息。 And you know what?和你知道什么？ It seems like Emerson’s quote: “Be careful what you set your heart upon, for you will surely have it.”好像艾默生的引述： “请注意您所设定您的心脏后，你一定会它” 。

I’m not saying that a bunch of investment professionals really want the market to crash per se… but I think a whole bunch of folks wouldn’t mind a little clarity.我不是说这一群投资专业人士真的要市场崩溃本身… …但我认为整个一群乡亲不会介意有点清晰。 If we’re going to have a recession… then let’s have it and be done with it.如果我们想要有一个衰退…那么，让我们有和做的与它。 If the market’s going to correct, then let’s get going.如果市场的去正确的话，那么让我们去。 And if the credit markets are all screwed up, then… well, uh… Oh.如果信贷市场都拧起来，然后…好，嗯…哦。 Maybe we just don’t know if all the bad news is out there, and that’s part of the problem.也许我们只是不知道如果所有的坏消息是有，这就是问题的一部分。 Once we identify problems, our nature is to fix them.我们一旦发现问题，我们的性质是要解决他们。 So far there has been little progress in identifying and “fixing” anything regarding the credit and subprime mess.直至目前为止，一直进展不大，在确定和“操纵”任何关于信贷和次级一塌糊涂。 The market indeed hates uncertainty, so that’s the biggest issue even in the face of challenging real estate markets across the nation.市场确实是讨厌不确定性，使的最大的问题，即使在面对具有挑战性的房地产市场，在全国范围内。

By the way, Briefing.com has written an excellent Market Outlook for 2008 with a clear-minded view of the issues the economy faces.由的方式， briefing.com写了一个很好的市场前景，为2008年与清醒的头脑，鉴于问题的经济面临着。 It’sa cautious view overall, but I appreciate the pragmatic approach taken by Dick Green in weighing the challenges ahead.这是谨慎的看法整体，但我很欣赏务实的态度，所采取的迪克绿色在权衡未来的挑战。

My view is much the same- I think it just takes time.我的看法是，很多相同的-我认为它只是需要时间。 With time, we’re going to get tired of the negative news… it’s going to fade and change will happen.随着时间的推移，我们要去厌烦的负面新闻… …它的去褪色和变化会发生。 And a whole bunch of people and companies are going to look for ways to make more money than they’re making right now.和整个一群人，公司要研究如何赚更多的钱比他们的决策权。 Best of all, this is an election year!最重要的是，这是一个选举年！ A few of the presidential hopefuls are going to make a real impact on the hearts and minds of Americans.少数总统有望要作出真正的影响，对心中的美国人。 And that’s not a bad thing… a little hope and idealism goes a long way. Huckabee and Obama ?这并不是一件坏事… …有一点希望和理想主义去了漫长的道路。 huckabee和奥巴马？ Sounds like a pretty good race to me.听起来像是一个不错的比赛给我。