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Archive for May 2008

Okay, the rebate check is in the bank and we’re going through the budget again.  I was shaking my head at the price of groceries and gas today, but it’s hard to see much of an economic slowdown by the amount of traffic out on the roads.  People must be cutting back though because everything has gone up in price recently. I’ve even heard some of the restaurants are struggling. 

We’re learning like never before how fuel prices really impact consumers and the needs of the family.  Simple things such as a trip to a nearby town are put off until really necessary, and I find myself driving a lot slower than I used to.  Some enterprising automaker should come up with a really efficient vehicle they call the Frugal.   I’d call it our Family Frugal and drive it proudly around.  Not a very sexy name perhaps, but heck I’m all about practical efficiency these days.  Actually it sounds kind of like a Volkswagon… Das Familie Frugal.

Ah but we use fuel for more than our vehicles.  We use propane fuel for some of our winter heating needs, and I usually fill the tank in late spring each year.  But with oil prices out of control, propane prices are crazy high too.  Do I fill the tank now, or wait until next fall or winter?  I’m inclined to wait and see if somebody… anybody, will do something about the rampant speculation in the oil markets out there.  At some point these high prices are bound to blow off.  It’s bad enough with gasoline, but the debate even involves diesel fuel supplies which are tighter and more expensive.  It’s a problem we need to solve because it affects everything- driving cars, trucking and transportation for goods, grocery prices, heating, etc, etc.

Members of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee’s Highways and Transit Subcommittee generally agreed that diesel prices have risen faster than gasoline prices, and that increases are reflected in higher food and merchandise costs. But they broke along party lines in suggesting ways to address the problem.”The conventional wisdom is that speculation provides liquidity to the market. But when you have a huge entry of people who have no intention of taking delivery of a commodity but are merely interested in making money by bidding prices higher, that’s a different matter,” Rep. Peter A. DeFazio (D-Ore.), the subcommittee’s chairman, said in his opening statement.

But Tyson Slocum, energy program director at the consumer advocacy group Public Citizen, agreed with DeFazio that speculators are exerting an unhealthy influence on energy commodity markets. “A certain amount of speculation or hedging is essential. But we have a financial bubble resulting from too much speculation. About 95% of the trades today do not involve taking delivery,” he said.

DeFazio still was interested in the possible impact of speculators on oil prices. “What would it hurt to have trades no longer opaque and off the books?”

I’m a pro-business, free market kind of guy, but when you have a critical commodity that drives every aspect of the national economic engine, how can we allow speculators and commodity investors to leverage investments in oil contracts that will never be delivered?  And if oil prices just keep going up, can the U.S. economy and consumers even survive in that environment?

Here’s one for you:  Just yesterday I was talking with the local propane company manager about fuel prices and my propane bill, and he spoke of a close friend who was a truck driver.  This guy regularly drove from the midwest roundtrip to the south and southwest, but his normal routine was to fill up his truck’s fuel tanks in Mexico!   “Why does he do that?” I asked, and the answer was that truckers can buy a cheap $20 pass to cross the border to buy fuel and they pay half the price for gas and diesel that we pay in the U.S.!   

Why does gasoline or diesel fuel cost half as much right across the border in Mexico than it does in the U.S.?

I don’t know how accurate that is, but the propane company manager I spoke with said it was true.  Perhaps Mexico has more reserves for oil, more drilling, more refineries… oh, maybe that’s why it costs less?   Even so, should petroleum products be half-price just across the border?  If it is, then we’re doing something wrong here in the U.S.  Hey, maybe we can tie in some of the immigation issues with cross-border agreements for oil or fuel?

But with the economy still teetering on the edge of a recession, at least Alan Greenspan thinks that ”the worst of the credit crisis is behind us.”   But what about inflationary costs to consumers for fuel and grocery prices?  I’m really not sure what Congress is doing beyond posturing and looking at raising taxes.  Is raising taxes on fuel and energy companies going to save consumers money?  I don’t think so.

I’m still calling for a U.S. Energy Summit however.  We’re not going to get anywhere if people don’t stop pointing fingers.  They need to sit down and map out the issues- start taking proactive measures and move forward with a plan for the nation. 

But in other news at the homefront, we’re busy planting a garden this year.  A different kind of fuel for the family perhaps, and another way to live a little more frugally.  With a little bit of space, how hard is it really to grow a few vegetables?  Especially tomatoes, but this year we’re even planting corn.  It’s much cheaper to grow your own, but admittedly it does take some effort to get started.  But if we’re successful and have enough veggies, it will cut down on the grocery bill.  And we hope to freeze and put up some of the extra to last into winter.  Now if I could figure out how to grow our own fuel for the cars we’d really be doing well. 

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In a long-awaited move, the Federal Reserve is setting out new consumer-friendly regulations intended to reign in credit card companies from overzealous and even unfair lending practices by financial institutions.

 The crackdown on credit card companies is finally taking a proactive approach to protecting consumers and reversing practices that have appeared overly greedy in recent years.  I’m a strong defender of free market economics and fair business practices, but too many credit card companies have lost their way in terms of serving clients’ needs, and instead have appeared nearly predatory in their approach to credit card account management.

“The proposed rules are intended to establish a new baseline for fairness in how credit card plans operate,” said Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve, which regulates many U.S. banks. “Consumers relying on credit cards should be better able to predict how their decisions and actions will affect their costs.”

And that’s the bottom line for many of consumers, a desire for clarity and a credit card agreement that isn’t changed at will by a company seeking higher profits.   I’ve noticed in some of my credit card statements that they are spelled-out more, and explained a little better than in years past, which is nice to see. But clarity in Disclosures Alone Won’t Solve Credit Card Issues according to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke

“Twenty-five years ago, less than half of all American families had a general purpose credit card. Since then, the number of consumers holding such cards and the amount of outstanding credit card debt has grown significantly. The development of credit scoring and implementation of risk-based pricing have made credit cards available to more people. In addition to serving as a source of needed credit, consumers benefit from the convenience credit cards offer as a payment mechanism.”

“The rapid growth in the use of credit cards, and a corresponding increase in the complexity of available products, has reduced the transparency of the industry, Mr. Bernanke said at an open meeting of the Fed board. For that reason, federal banking regulators need to make improvements to give consumers “greater control” over their accounts.”

 Of course the banking industry and lobbyists do not agree:

“The Federal Reserve’s proposal is an unprecedented regulatory intrusion into marketplace pricing and product offerings,” said Edward Yingling, chief executive of the American Bankers Association.

With any new set of regulations there are some risks.  Government may overstep the bounds of balanced market dynamics and impose too many rules and binding regulations on institutions.  Those banking institutions may simply change their business practices in a negative way, avoiding regulatory issues and not making credit available to consumers as they have done in the past. 

“Card industry representatives have been quick to warn that the passage of new legislation or additional regulation could hurt all credit card carriers.”

“We are deeply concerned that these rules will result in less competition, higher consumer prices, fewer consumer choices, and reduced consumer access to credit cards,” said Yingling, the banking industry advocate. In short, everyday consumers will bear the real cost of these proposals.”

“Americans with shabby credit histories, for example, may no longer have similar access to credit. At the same time, consumers with good credit could soon find themselves facing higher interest rates.”

Do you agree?  I see their point, but I also think the banking industry is protecting its own at this point.  Certainly businesses are in business to make money, and they should do so as they deem appropriate…. within the bounds of the legal and regulatory structure.  But in this case, many consumers and now politicians and leading economists believe that the financial institutions have overstepped their bounds, unfairly targeting consumers.  

We will always walk a balance between too little and too much regulatory structure in business markets.  But in this case, I personally believe it was time that government stepped in to look at consumers’ interests compared to the financial profit incentives of the banking industry.  Sometimes the balance becomes skewed, and perhaps this is a small step to swing the pendulum back toward consumers’ interests.  

Besides, with today’s lending climate during the credit crunch, banking and financial institutions have lost a lot of credibility in terms of managing risk, and consumers are paying the price for their market turmoil induced by many of these same institutions.  By saying “credit may not be available to consumers” is stretching the truth when credit is really no longer available to a certain segment of consumers anyway at this point.  

As Congress examines the issue, time will tell how these regulations impact the banking industry overall.  Somehow I believe they’ll do just fine and find new ways to make money while lending money.

Depending on the rules that are adopted, credit card companies would be prohibited from:

  • Making deceptive offers of credit without spelling out terms and limitations;
  • Placing unfair time constraints on payments. A payment would not be deemed late unless the borrower is given a reasonable period of time, such as 21 days, to pay;
  • Allocating payments unfairly among balances with different interest rates;
  • Retroactively raising interest rates on pre-existing balances when a change in credit status occurs;
  • Assessing very high fees for exceeding credit limits solely because of a hold placed on the account;
  • Unfairly charging consumers security deposits and fees when issuing credit or making credit available;
  • Unfairly computing balances using double-cycle billing;
  • Prohibit overdraft fees because of additional “holds” when using debit card (such as when purchase gasoline).

It will be interesting to see what rules are ultimately adopted and applied, and how credit card companies react.  In some cases I expect credit card accounts may be cancelled or frozen without additional steps by consumers. But the banking and financial institutions cannot lash out without consequences to their own businesses.  While they are in business to make a profit, they are also in the customer service business.  There will always be another company willing to take customers who are not happy with their current bank or lending institution.    

Is this the long-awaited Credit Card Bill of Rights for consumers?   Not quite, and the Consumer Federation of America is calling for even greater regulation:

“We commend federal regulators for taking an important first step to stop credit card companies from pumping up their profits by using hidden traps and tricks that drive up the amount of debt consumers owe,” said Travis B. Plunkett, legislative director of the Consumer Federation of America. “We urge Congress to focus on enacting a permanent law that curbs abusive practices not addressed in this proposal.”

If I had the ear of the card company executives, I would advise them to jump right onboard this consumer-friendly train, and even make a huge PR effort to show what they are doing to help consumers. Bottom line?  Consumers want a credit card agreement that is fair and steady, and not at risk of changing overnight by a company who can assess fees and charges at will.  Perhaps in response to increased regulation we’ll see a trend toward term limited credit cards, with fixed contracts?   Hard to say, but I don’t think those offers will stop coming in the mailbox anytime soon.

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 Even with a challenging economy and dynamic swings in stock prices, the market has begun to advance over the last couple of months.  While the U.S. economy teeters on the edge of recession, is it really that bad out there? That certainly depends on your individual situation, but for the most part we’re managing to get by, even with gas and commodity prices that are out of control.  Interest rates have dropped quite a bit and that’s provided some relief to homeowners with ARM loans.

But is the Fed finished cutting rates?  Many experts believe so, and that from here will be a long pause to allow the economy to work its way back into growth mode.  Maybe the Fed Has Bought Enough Anti-Recession Insurance for now.  But we’ve got to put our money to work somewhere, and for most of us that means staying invested even in difficult times.

The amount of negativity about the economy and markets have been amazing this past year, and Jason Zweig’s near-contrarian view offers some good advice for Why Acting Bearish is a Dumb Move.

“This has been one ferocious stock market. Not only has Wall Street been flirting with a bear market - conventionally defined as a 20% decline in the major indexes - but we’re now in “the second-worst eight-year period for stocks since the 1930s,” says money manager Martha Ortiz of Aronson Johnson & Ortiz in Philadelphia.”

“…a growing chorus of bears thinks that the worst is yet to come and that investors should get out of the market. After all, everyone knows stocks will keep sagging since it’s obvious the economy is sinking into recession, right?”

“Even if the economy is headed for real trouble, don’t assume that your portfolio is too. Larry Swedroe, director of research at Buckingham Asset Management, notes that the U.S. economy has experienced 11 recessions since World War II. From the first day of those economic contractions to the last, stocks still managed to deliver average gains of 7.1% vs. 5.1% for cash.”

Bottom line?  Stay invested, stay long, and focus on living positively each day.  It’s not always easy to do, but I try to tune out the economic noise, and remember what’s important at home and with family.   If there’s something I’ve learned from this almost-recession and high gas and grocery prices, it’s that we really don’t need a lot of the things we spend money on.

Cutting back spending and becoming more frugal isn’t that difficult.  I don’t know about you, but when I save money or do something more efficiently, it really makes me feel good in other areas of my life.  It helps me to focus on the important aspects of life, and the goals I have for personal growth.  I’m not tied to worries or stress about the market, and how my retirement funds are doing.  

It’s about improving the quality of our lives and experience versus the quantity of something that is always changing.  

Laura Rowley describes it very well as feeling blessed

“Money can certainly buy us a measure of freedom or security, but money itself is none of those things. If we think money is security, we’ll never amass enough to feel secure. If we think it’s freedom, we’ll never earn enough to be free.”

“Once we remove the emotional baggage, we can acknowledge that money is just one component to achieve our goals instead of an all-encompassing solution. If freedom is a value, we have to ask which people, qualities, and experiences have made us feel most free in the past: Where do I need to live to be around those people? What should I do for my work, and how should I spend my leisure time? How much money do I need to help me create a life with those qualities and experiences? Being as specific as possible about how to manifest these qualities in our lives will keep us from running on the hedonic treadmill.” 

“… long-term flourishing requires discipline, persistence, hard work, faith, and, most important, pursuing goals that are close to your heart and based on your personal gifts.”

When we take time to appreciate what we do have in our lives, we begin to understand more about ourselves, our relationships and where we want to go.  It’s an essential part of the process of discovery, not only for whatever personal gifts we possess, but for the direction of the journey itself.  

Is money the reason for the journey?   Not by a long shot.  But it certainly helps.  A little balance and reflection helps even more.  Growing our money, like growing our lives, takes time and staying invested.  Money provides a lot of things in life, but it can’t buy long term happiness.  Money is simply a tool to take along the journey.  Sure it’s important, but if we forget our goals and what’s important in our lives, then we really haven’t gone anywhere have we?

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