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I was wondering how I could really get folks to read a post….   I know!   I need a really catchy title or something.  What if my title for the post was Five Reasons to Sell, Sell, Sell?   Oh… that sounds kind of alarming doesn’t it?  Maybe a little too much?  But wait!  Someone beat me to it… no less than Business Week wrote a short article with the same title (I guess they really wanted people to read it).   As alarming as it sounds however, the author does raise some excellent points for contrasting how well the market has done lately with consideration for threats to the downside.  The primary issues they cite are:  Company Earnings, Consumer Spending, Inflation, Subprime and Housing and “Shiny Happy Investors.”  That’s a pretty succinct list, and covers the major themes for the market and economy right now.  I would probably add global macroeconomic and international market issues to the list.  They describe “Shiny Happy Investors” as those having too much optimism, and excessive market euphoria for continued good times.  Bottom line, if too many retail investors are buying stocks, then the big money is probably selling.  Many of us have been finding similar themes for a couple of months now, but I’m glad to see more skepticism in the media.  I’ll never argue with a market that does well, but I want to balance the potential downside as well.  We’ve got a few historically challenging months ahead for the market.  And I’m going to need to work on my titles… I’m obviously not grabbing enough attention!

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By N2H